Bucks vs Bulls prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Model Game 4 best bets on 86-56 run
The Milwaukee Bucks are looking to take the lead when they take on the Chicago Bulls in Game 4 of a first-round series on Sunday. After a disappointing loss in Game 2, the Bucks choked the Bulls by a 30-point margin in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead. Chicago is therefore in a desperate position and Game 4 will take place at the United Center. Khris Middleton (knee) and George Hill (abs) are out for the Bucks. Lonzo Ball (knee) and Matt Thomas (leg) are out for the Bulls.
Tipoff is at 1 p.m. ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as the 4.5-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 219.5 in the latest Bucks vs. Bulls odds. Before making Bulls vs Bucks picks, you must see NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has earned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA Picks over the past three seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2022 NBA Playoffs on a stunning 86-56 result over all NBA top picks, grossing nearly $2,400. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.
Now the model has set its sights on Bulls vs. Bucksand just revealed his NBA picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices.. Here are several NBA Odds and betting lines for Bucks vs Bulls:
- Difference Bucks vs Bulls: Bucks -4.5
- Bucks vs. Bulls over-under: 219.5 points
- Money line Bucks vs Bulls: Bucks -190, Bulls +160
- MIL: Bucks are 4-6 ATS in last 10 games
- CHI: Bulls are 5-6 ATS in last 10 games
Featured Game | Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Why the Bucks can cover
Although they haven’t been among the series’ elite on the offensive side, the Bucks have a solid offensive base. Milwaukee finished in the NBA’s top five in offensive rating during the regular season, scoring over 1.14 points per possession. The Bucks were in the top 10 for 3-point accuracy, two-point accuracy and free throw creation, and Chicago ranked only 23rd in the NBA in defensive ratings in 2021-22. Milwaukee also has the series’ MVP in Giannis Antetokounmpo, with the NBA MVP runner-up averaging 29.9 points and 11.6 rebounds per game.
On the other side, the Bucks are playing extremely well, leading the NBA playoffs in a myriad of defensive categories. Milwaukee is allowing just 0.94 points per possession, with Chicago shooting just 40.1 percent from the floor and 29.2 percent from 3-point range. In addition to contesting shots at a high level, the Bucks are giving up less than 15 free throw attempts per game and snatching more than 80% of available rebounds on the defensive glass.
Why the Bulls can cover
Chicago has struggled at times in the series, but the Bulls are strong on offense. Chicago shot 48.0 percent from the field during the regular season, the NBA’s No. 3 mark, and the Bulls landed in the top four with 3-point accuracy (36.9 percent) and free throw accuracy (81.3%). The Bulls handle the ball, committing just 12.8 turnovers per game in the 2021-22 season, and Chicago has averaged 1.86 assists for each giveaway.
DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine are each able to carry the offense, both players averaging more than 24 points per game in the regular season, and the Bulls have performed well defensively in the first three games. Chicago holds Milwaukee to just 1.04 points per possession in the series, and the Bulls have a stellar 75.2% defensive rebound rate. Milwaukee has weakness at the free throw line, making just 66 percent of attempts against Chicago, and the Bulls finished No. 6 in the NBA in allowing just 11.7 3-pointers per game during the regular season.
How to Make Bulls vs Bucks Picks
SportsLine’s model looks at total points, projecting a combined 230 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s Bucks vs Bulls picks on SportsLine.
So who wins Bulls versus Bucks? And which side of the gap hits in 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread Bulls vs. Bucks you gotta jump, all from the model who crushed his NBA picksand find out.