Celtics vs. Warriors odds, prediction: 2022 NBA Finals pick, expert’s Game 3 best bets on 38-17 run

For the first time in over a decade, the Boston Celtics are hosting an NBA Finals game on Wednesday night. The Celtics host the Golden State Warriors at TD Garden for Game 1, with the series tied 1-1. Golden State won convincingly in Game 2, avenging a series-opening loss to the Celtics in San Francisco. Robert Williams III (knee) is listed as questionable for the Celtics. Andre Iguodala (knee), Gary Payton II (elbow) and Otto Porter Jr. (foot) are listed as questionable for the Warriors.

Tipoff is at 9 p.m. ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as the home favorite with 3.5 points, while the plus or minus, or total number of points Vegas thinks it will score, is 212.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Before making Celtics vs. Warriors picks, you have to see what SportsLine expert Zack Cimini has to say.

A Las Vegas handicapper who’s never afraid to go against conventional wisdom, Cimini excels in multiple sports. Over the past 35 NBA Picks, Cimini is 22-13, returning nearly $800 to $100 from players. He’s also on an incredible 38-17-1 run with his last 56 ATS picks involving the Celtics, netting nearly $1,700 for $100 players.

Now Cimini has set its sights on Celtics vs. Warriors, and just locked in his picks and predictions for the NBA playoffs. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NBA Odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Celtics:

  • Difference Celtics vs Warriors: Boston -3.5
  • Celtics vs. Warriors over-under: 212.5 points
  • Silver line Celtics vs. Warriors: Boston -160, Golden State +140
  • Celtics vs. Warriors Tickets: See tickets on StubHub
  • BOS: Celtics are 13-7 ATS in playoff games
  • GS: Warriors are 10-8 ATS in playoff games

Featured game | Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

Through two games, the Warriors had the best player in the series in Stephen Curry. In addition to bending Boston’s defense to the brink with his gravity, Curry is averaging 31.5 points per game and shooting 46% from 3-point range in the series. That follows a regular season in which he led the NBA in 3 points (285) and averaged 25.5 points per game on strong efficiency. With Curry at the helm, the Warriors have the best offensive efficiency numbers in the NBA playoffs, scoring 115.7 points per 100 possessions, and Golden State converts 41.5 percent of 3-point attempts against the Celtics.

The Warriors are also above average on playoff offensive glass, and Golden State is averaging 1.91 assists for every turnover. The Warriors have a 59.7% team true shooting mark, and Golden State assists on 66.5% of field goals after leading the league in assist rate during the 82-game regular season. With that offense and a top-three defense in the league, Golden State is impressive overall, and the Warriors have a penchant for stealing games on the road in the playoffs.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston has assets at both ends of the field to console themselves at this point. The Celtics are shooting 46.2 percent from 3-point range in the series, and Boston has great offensive numbers in the playoffs. Boston is averaging 24.7 assists per game, assisting on 66.7% of field goals, generating 23.5 free throw attempts per game and converting 80.9% of free throw attempts in the playoffs. The Celtics also have a solid 58.0 percent true shooting rating, and Jayson Tatum is averaging 26.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

On the other side, the Celtics led the NBA in defensive efficiency in 2021-22, and Boston is giving up just 105.9 points per 100 possessions to playoff opponents. That comes with elite ratings in assist prevention (20.5 per game), field goal percentage allowed (43.4%), 3-point percentage allowed (32.9%) and blocked shots (6.4 per game). Boston has also led the league in all defensive shooting categories this season, and Ime Udoka’s team has few flaws in shutting down opponents with versatility and physicality.

How to make choices between Warriors and Celtics

For Game 3 of the 2022 NBA Finals, Cimini looks at point totals, but he also says a critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must. He’s just sharing what it is, and which side of the Warriors vs. Celtics extended at fullback, to SportsLine.

So who wins the Celtics against the Warriors? And which side of the spread is a must-have? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs Celtics spread you should jump to, all from the pundit who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

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