Prisco’s picks for NFL Week 12: Giants upset Eagles, Buccaneers overthrow Colts, Packers dominate Rams

Washrooms, say hello to my week 11 picks.

That’s where they were last week, swirling around in a disgusting display of pick games as they dumped my good start to the season down the drain.

I went 6-9 ATS, dropping my mark of the season to 85-77-3. I went 8-7 straight to get to 97-67-1 and my best bets on the Pick-Six podcast went to 2-4, dropping my record to 35-34.

It’s weird, but I knew the bad week was coming. I didn’t like the map at all, which is why I went with a lot of dogs, and my pickaxes were more like what dogs leave on the ground when walking around.

Stinky shit.

So let’s turn around. This week, I like the menu. And it’s Thanksgiving week, which means I want you to be thankful that my choices have come back out of the mud. I have a good feeling.

Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest odds:

Detroit Lions +2.5

It will likely be Andy Dalton vs. Tim Boyle in the quarterback battle. Oh man. These two teams aren’t going anywhere, but the Lions are still playing strong. It is important. The situation with Bears coach Matt Nagy isn’t helping either. Dan Campbell gets his first victory.

To take: Lions 19, Bear 16

Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Dallas Cowboys -7

The Raiders have lost three games in a row, while the Cowboys have lost two of three. Injuries are taking a toll on the Cowboys offense, and it will be here again. But the Raiders couldn’t stop the race last week against the Bengals, which is why I think Ezekiel Elliott will go wild. The cowboys take it.

To take: Cowboys 33, Raiders 20

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Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Latest odds:

New Orleans Saints +7

It’s a huge game for both teams. The Saints have lost two in a row, while the Bills were beaten by the Colts at home last week. The Bills have issues with physical teams, and the Saints are certainly one of them. But I think Josh Allen will perform well in prime time, which he has done in his career. The Bills take it.

To take: Bills 27, Saints 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest odds:

Indianapolis Colts +3

The Bucs looked much better defending against the Giants, but it will be a challenge against Jonathan Taylor and the Colts’ racing game. But I think with the expected return of Vita Vea, this game will go to Carson Wentz for the Colts. The Bucs will respond. Tom Brady makes the most of it.

To take: Bucs 28, Foals 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Houston Texans -2.5

It’s the dog game of the week. The Texans won last week coming out of their bye and impressed by doing so. The Jets have problems in a lot of areas. I think the Texans can win another one here with Tyrod Taylor playing well for a second week in a row.

To take: Texans 24, Jets 13

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest odds:

New York Giants +3

The Eagles are on a roll as the Giants play a short week after a terrible performance against the Bucs on Monday night. So why do I like the Giants? I just think they will react after a poor performance to play better on both sides of the ball. They will limit the game for the Eagles, which has helped them play better. The Giants withdraw the surprise.

To take: Giants 23, Eagles 20

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest odds:

Miami Dolphins +2

The Dolphins have turned things around over the past three weeks against bad teams to keep their playoff hopes alive. Carolina suffered a bad loss to Washington last week. Carolina’s defense gave up in this game, but I think she’ll pick up her style here and limit Tua Tagovailoa. The Panthers win.

To take: Panthers 23, Dolphins 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

New England Patriots -7

The Titans looked horrible losing at home to the Texans last week and now have to play a big AFC road game against the Patriots. New England played excellent defense, which will continue to be the case here. It should be a lousy, low scoring game, with the Patriots taking it out with a late field goal but the Titans lagging behind.

To take: Patriots 20, Titans 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Cincinnati Bengals -4

It’s a huge division game for these two. The Steelers have a few defensive injuries, which will be at stake here. The Bengals impressed coming out of their bye last week and I think the momentum will continue. Bengals will win it as Joe Burrow has a big game

To take: Bengals 28, Steelers 21

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Jacksonville Jaguars +2

The Falcons have lost back-to-back games, but they remain alive in the playoff race. Jacksonville looked terrible last week losing to the 49ers, but the Falcons aren’t as physical as the 49ers. The Jaguars will remain in this game behind their defense. It’s not a pretty game, but the Jaguars manage the surprise.

To take: Jaguars 9, Falcons 6

Sunday, 4:05 ET (CBS, Paramount +)

Latest odds:

Denver Broncos +2.5

Both of these teams still have playoff hopes. The Chargers are emerging from an explosive offensive against the Steelers. It’ll be more of a challenge on the road, but I love the way Justin Herbert plays again. I think he’s playing well here because he gets the best from the Broncos.

To take: Chargers 30, Broncos 23

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest odds:

Green Bay Packers +1

It’s the game of the week, featuring two of the best teams in the league. The Rams come off a pass and they get the Packers at the right time as they face a bunch of hard-hitting injuries. But I think being back home after losing to Minnesota will be important for the Packers. Aaron Rodgers wins.

To take: Packers 31, Rams 24

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)

Latest odds:

San Francisco 49ers -3

As for the playoff image, it’s a big game. The 49ers have raised the bar with back-to-back wins, but their defense will be tested by Minnesota’s passing game. San Francisco’s running game and quick passing game will be tough to handle for the Minnesota defense. I’ll go with the Vikings to keep this one close, the 49ers pulling it out late.

To take: 49ers 27, Vikings 26

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)

Latest odds:

Baltimore Ravens -3.5

The Ravens will reunite with Lamar Jackson after his absence last week due to illness. The Browns beat the Lions last week, but didn’t look good to do so. Baker Mayfield is in trouble. The Ravens will reignite the offense with Jackson’s return, but I think the Browns will do so with their running game as well. Is it close.

To take: Ravens 28, Browns 27

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)

Latest odds:

Washington PK Football Team

The Seahawks are in big trouble after losing three straight games. Washington has won back-to-back wins and it’s now a winnable game. Taylor Heinecke is playing well and not the Seattle defense. That’s the difference as Heinecke outshines Russell Wilson.

To take: Washington 33, Seahawks 28

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